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Long-Term Trends in Healthcare
And Their Implications for the Leasing Industry
Executive Summary
Table of Contents
List of Exhibits, Charts and Tables
Purchase This Study
Table of Contents:
1
Executive Summary
3
Introduction
The U.S. Healthcare Industry
3
a) Industry overview
4
b) Medical facilities and practices
5
c) Medical equipment and supplies
5
d) Pharmaceuticals
5
e) Managed care and long-term care
6
Growth Projections for Healthcare Industry through 2030
9
Major Forces Impacting the Future Growth of the Healthcare Industry
10
Demographics and the Healthcare Industry
10
Labor Markets and the Healthcare Industry
12
New Treatments and the Healthcare Industry
Technology and the Healthcare Industry
14
a) Technology for diagnosis and treatment
14
b) Technology for productivity improvement
17
Globalization and the Healthcare Industry
17
Government and the Healthcare Industry
19
Capital Investment and Productivity in the Healthcare Industry
20
The General Financial Environment of the Healthcare Industry
Financing the Healthcare Industry
21
a) Financing hospitals
22
b) Financing medical practices
23
The Long-term Future of Leasing in the Healthcare Industry
24
Keys to Success in Healthcare Leasing
25
Conclusions
27
Annex A - Leasing Credit Quality Research
34
About the Authors
35
Bibliography
Top
List of Exhibits, Charts and Tables
3
Exhibit One - Major Categories of U.S. Health Expenditures, 2004
4
Exhibit Two - Breakdown of National Health Expenditures
6
Exhibit Three - Historical and Forecasted U.S. Health Expenditures as Share of GDP
7
Exhibit Four - National Health Expenditures Per Capita, 1986-2010
8
Exhibit Five - Healthcare Spending Per Capita by OECD Country, 1960-1999
9
Exhibit Six - Percent of GDP Spent on Healthcare by OECD Country, 1960-1999
9
Exhibit Seven - Projections on U.S. Population Over 65
10
Exhibit Eight - Changing Share of U.S. Population in Major Age Groups
11
Exhibit Nine - Number of People Employed in Healthcare, 1985 - 2001
11
Exhibit Ten - Healthcare Employment Growth Projections, 2000 - 2010
13
Exhibit Eleven - Prescription Drug Expenditures Growth
18
Exhibit Twelve - Total State Spending and Federal Funds Provided to States, 2000
28
Chart 1 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by SICs
29
Chart 2 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by Contract Size
29
Chart 3 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by Organization Size
30
Chart 4 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by Equipment Type
30
Chart 5 - Healthcare Leases - Good and Failed
31
Table 1 - Failure Rate for Healthcare Lease Contracts by SICs
32
Table 2 - Failure Rate for Healthcare Lease Contracts by Contract Size
32
Table 3 - Failure Rate for Healthcare Lease Contracts by Organization Size
Top