Long-Term Trends in Healthcare
And Their Implications for the Leasing Industry
Table of Contents:
- 1 Executive Summary
- 3 Introduction
- 3 a) Industry overview
- 4 b) Medical facilities and practices
- 5 c) Medical equipment and supplies
- 5 d) Pharmaceuticals
- 5 e) Managed care and long-term care
- 6 Growth Projections for Healthcare Industry through 2030
- 9 Major Forces Impacting the Future Growth of the Healthcare Industry
- 10 Demographics and the Healthcare Industry
- 10 Labor Markets and the Healthcare Industry
- 12 New Treatments and the Healthcare Industry
- 14 a) Technology for diagnosis and treatment
- 14 b) Technology for productivity improvement
- 17 Globalization and the Healthcare Industry
- 17 Government and the Healthcare Industry
- 19 Capital Investment and Productivity in the Healthcare Industry
- 20 The General Financial Environment of the Healthcare Industry
- 21 a) Financing hospitals
- 22 b) Financing medical practices
- 23 The Long-term Future of Leasing in the Healthcare Industry
- 24 Keys to Success in Healthcare Leasing
- 25 Conclusions
- 27 Annex A - Leasing Credit Quality Research
- 34 About the Authors
- 35 Bibliography
List of Exhibits, Charts and Tables
- 3 Exhibit One - Major Categories of U.S. Health Expenditures, 2004
- 4 Exhibit Two - Breakdown of National Health Expenditures
- 6 Exhibit Three - Historical and Forecasted U.S. Health Expenditures as
Share of GDP
- 7 Exhibit Four - National Health Expenditures Per Capita, 1986-2010
- 8 Exhibit Five - Healthcare Spending Per Capita by OECD Country, 1960-1999
- 9 Exhibit Six - Percent of GDP Spent on Healthcare by OECD Country, 1960-1999
- 9 Exhibit Seven - Projections on U.S. Population Over 65
- 10 Exhibit Eight - Changing Share of U.S. Population in Major Age Groups
- 11 Exhibit Nine - Number of People Employed in Healthcare, 1985 - 2001
- 11 Exhibit Ten - Healthcare Employment Growth Projections, 2000 - 2010
- 13 Exhibit Eleven - Prescription Drug Expenditures Growth
- 18 Exhibit Twelve - Total State Spending and Federal Funds Provided
to States, 2000
- 28 Chart 1 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by SICs
- 29 Chart 2 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by Contract Size
- 29 Chart 3 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by Organization Size
- 30 Chart 4 - Healthcare Lease Contracts by Equipment Type
- 30 Chart 5 - Healthcare Leases - Good and Failed
- 31 Table 1 - Failure Rate for Healthcare Lease Contracts by SICs
- 32 Table 2 - Failure Rate for Healthcare Lease Contracts by Contract Size
- 32 Table 3 - Failure Rate for Healthcare Lease Contracts by Organization Size