March 2014 Survey Results:
The overall MCI-EFI is 65.1, an increase from the February index of 63.3.
- When asked to assess their business conditions over the next four months, 31.4% of executives responding said they believe business conditions will improve over the next four months, up from 21.2% in February. 65.7% of respondents believe business conditions will remain the same over the next four months, down from 72.7% in February. 2.9% believe business conditions will worsen, down from 6.1% who believed so the previous month.
- 31.4% of survey respondents believe demand for leases and loans to fund capital expenditures (capex) will increase over the next four months, up from 24.2% in February. 62.9% believe demand will "remain the same" during the same four-month time period, down from 69.7% the previous month. 5.7% believe demand will decline, down from 6.1% who believed so in February.
- 31.4% of executives expect more access to capital to fund equipment acquisitions over the next four months, unchanged from February. 68.6% of survey respondents indicate they expect the "same" access to capital to fund business, up from 65.5% in February. No one expects "less" access to capital, down from 3.1% who expected less access the previous month.
- When asked, 40% of the executives reported they expect to hire more employees over the next four months, relatively unchanged from February. 60% expect no change in headcount over the next four months, up from 53% last month. No one expects fewer employees, down from 6.3% who expected fewer employees in February.
- 5.7% of the leadership evaluates the current U.S. economy as "excellent," up from 3% last month. 88.6% of the leadership evaluates the current U.S. economy as "fair," down from 93.8% last month. 5.7% rate it as "poor," up from 3% last month.
- 31.4% of the of survey respondents believe that U.S. economic conditions will get "better" over the next six months, a decrease from 34.4% who believed so in February. 68.6% of survey respondents indicate they believe the U.S. economy will "stay the same" over the next six months, an increase from 59.4% in February. No one believes economic conditions in the U.S. will worsen over the next six months, a decrease from 6.2% last month.
- In March, 45.7% of respondents indicate they believe their company will increase spending on business development activities during the next six months, a decrease from 56.3% in February. 54.3% believe there will be "no change" in business development spending, an increase from 43.8% last month. No one believes there will be a decrease in spending, unchanged from last month.
March 2014 Survey Comments from Industry Executive Leadership:
Depending on the market segment they represent, executives have differing points of view on the current and future outlook for the industry.
Bank, Small Ticket
"We continue to see strong growth in both applications and origination volume. We are optimistic that this trend will continue as we close out the first quarter. In addition, portfolio performance in terms of delinquencies remains very low." David Schaefer, CEO, Mintaka Financial, LLC
Independent, Middle Ticket
"New business volume targets in our truck transportation business continue to be met or exceeded by our over 2,300 dealers nationwide in the U.S., suggesting continued strength in the economy." William Besgen, President & COO, Hitachi Capital America Corp.
Bank, Middle Ticket
"The overall economy is fair; however, I do see an increase in capital expenditures in 2014. The capital expenditures will be made to reduce labor cost and/or replace outdated or worn out equipment." Elaine Temple, President, Bancorpsouth Equipment Finance
Survey Respondent Demographics:
- Bank: 62.9%
- Captive: 5.7%
- Financial Services: 8.6%
- Independent: 22.9%
- Other: 0.0%
Market Segments Based on Transaction Size of New Business Volume
- Large-Ticket (New Business Volume Avg. Transaction Size Over $5 Million): 14.3%
- Middle-Ticket (New Business Volume Avg. Transaction Size of $250,000 - $5 Million): 57.1%
- Small-Ticket (New Business Volume Avg. Transaction Size of $25,000 - $249,999): 28.6%
- Micro-Ticket (New Business Volume Avg. Transaction Less Than $25,000): 0.0%
Organization Size (Based on Annual New Business Volume for Fiscal Year 2010):
- Under $50 Million: 8.6%
- $50 Million - $250 Million: 14.3%
- $250 Million - $1 Billion: 45.7%
- Over $1 Billion: 31.4%